`There are many people who think that if Covid-19 reaches its peak, people will be immune and the epidemic will end. However, two issues need to be considered,` William Schaffner, professor of infectious diseases, School of Medicine

According to him, two issues that need to be considered when relaxing epidemic prevention measures are the capacity of the health system and the risk to the elderly group.

Statistics to date show that the majority of people who die from nCoV are elderly people with underlying medical conditions.

A person’s body temperature was measured in Naples, Italy on March 10.

European countries still seem to hesitate to blockade to prevent Covid-19 because of concerns about the economic consequences.

Professor Schaffner analyzed that when Covid-19 peaks, the epidemic may end.

`If we take measures to contain the epidemic, we will be able to control the number of infected people. Then hospitals and clinics will operate more easily, because they will not be overloaded for a period of time.`

Dr. Brandon Brown, School of Medicine, University of California, USA, also affirmed that a country’s health system will face a big challenge when many people are hospitalized, when the epidemic peaks.

According to Brown, if countries relax measures to prevent Covid-19, many people will be infected and the number of deaths will increase.

`Governments need to consider the potential health impact of Covid-19, versus the economic impact,` Brown said.

Two scenarios for the virus spread rate.

Brown cited research by Carl Bergstrom, an expert at the University of Washington, USA, on two scenarios for the spread of the virus.

Professor David Heymann, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK, noted that the number of `imported` infections from other countries continues to increase.

Covid-19 has now appeared in more than 120 countries and territories, causing more than 126,000 infections and more than 4,600 deaths.

Professor Schaffner warned that Covid-19 will `invade` the southern hemisphere, as this region prepares for winter.

`We have not seen the worst of the Covid-19 outbreak. The epidemic will spread on a large scale in many countries,` Schaffner said.

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